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Mathematical Methods in Counterterrorism




Abstracts

Communications and security in terrorist networks: a graph-theoretic model

Georg Gunther
Sir Wilfred Grenfell College
Memorial University of Newfoundland

Abstract:

Abstract: A terrorist network can be modeled by setting up a graph whose vertices represent the individuals in the network, and whose edges represent lines of communication. Two criteria must be met. The first is that of communication: any two agents must be able to pass messages to each other, either directly or through one or more intermediaries, and the higher the degree of connectivity in the modeling graph, the more efficient the level of communication becomes. The second is that of internal security: an individual who is either arrested or subverted is in a position to betray everyone he knows; it is clear that a high degree of connectivity makes the network increasingly vulnerable to the effects of such counter-terrorist interventions. Thus the need for efficient communications and the desire for a high degree of internal security place conflicting demands on the communication-structure of the network. This leads naturally to a number of optimization questions. For example, knowing that some of the individuals will be arrested, with the subsequent betrayal of everyone they know, how should lines of communication be set up in order to minimize the effects of such betrayals? A clearer understanding of structural problems of this type might provide for counter-terrorist organizations better insights for effective ways of neutralizing the threat posed by terrorist networks.


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