5th
Conference
Mathematical Methods in Counterterrorism
Program
| 9:00am-9:05am | Welcoming Remarks Benn Tannenbaum, AAAS |
| 9:05am-9:30am | Responding to Terrorism: Risk Perceptions, Communication and Societal Impacts William Burns, Center for Risk and Economic Analysis of Terrorism Events |
| 9:30am-9:40am | Questions & Discussion |
| 9:40am-10:05am | Bioterrorism Risk Probabilistic Risk Analysis Barry Charles Ezell, Old Dominion University |
| 10:05am-10:15am | Questions & Discussion |
| 10:15am-10:40am | Network Science at West Point Col. Steve Horton, United States Military Academy, West Point |
| 10:40am-10:50am | Questions & Discussion |
| 10:50am-11:00am | Break |
| 11:00am-11:25am | Covert Affiliation Networks Roy Lindelauf, Tilburg University and Netherlands Defense Academy |
| 11:25am-11:35am | Questions & Discussion |
| 11:35am-12:00pm | Quantifying Terrorism Risk under the
Obama Administration Gordon Woo, Risk Management Solutions, London |
| 12:00pm-2:15pm | Lunch |
| 2:15pm-2:40pm | The VAST Contests - Mathematical Challenges Georges Grinstein, University of Massachusetts Lowell |
| 2:40pm-2:50pm | Questions & Discussion |
| 2:50pm-3:15pm | CrimeFighter: A Toolbox for Counterterrorism Uffe Kock Wiil, University of Southern Denmark |
| 3:15pm-3:25pm | Questions & Discussion |
| 3:25pm-3:50pm | Understanding Terrorist Organizations with a Dynamic Model Alexander Gutfraind, Cornell University |
| 3:50pm-4:00pm | Questions & Discussion |
| 4:00pm-4:15pm | Break |
| 4:15pm-4:40pm | Algorithmic Prediction of Terrorism
Surges: Non-linear dynamics approach Vladimir Keilis-Borok, University of California, Los Angeles |
| 4:40pm-4:50pm | Questions & Discussion |
| 4:50pm-5:15pm | Bayesian Modeling of Group Structure in
Dynamic Networks Jim Ferry, Metron Inc. |
| 9:00am-9:05am | Welcoming Remarks |
| 9:05am-9:30am | Collective Violence and Repression: Making Use of the Opposing Forces Diffusion Model Daniel Myers, University of Notre Dame |
| 9:30am-9:40am | Questions & Discussion |
| 9:40am-10:05am | Identification of a Common Group Dynamics underlying Recent Wars And Terrorism Neil Johnson, University of Miami |
| 10:05am-10:15am | Questions & Discussion |
| 10:15am-10:40am | Communications and Security in Terrorist Networks: A graph-theoretic model Georg Gunther, Memorial University of Newfoundland, Canada |
| 10:40am-10:50am | Questions & Discussion |
| 10:50am-11:00am | Break |
| 11:00am-11:25am | The Mathematical Challenges to
Knowledge Systems Technologies for the Intelligence Community Cliff Joslyn, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory |
| 11:25am-11:35am | Questions & Discussion |
| 11:35am-12:00pm | Knowledge to Action: DHS's Challenge
for the Mathematical Community Jennifer O'Connor, Department of Homeland Security |
| 12:00pm-2:25pm | Lunch |
| 2:25pm-2:50pm | Measuring Confidence Intervals in Link Discovery: A Bootstrap
Approach
Jafar Adibi, PricewaterhouseCoopers, LLP |
| 2:50pm-3:00pm | Questions & Discussion |
| 3:00pm-3:25pm | Inference and Interdiction in a Terror Queue Model Ed Kaplan, Yale University |
| 3:25pm-3:35pm | Questions & Discussion |
| 3:35pm-4:00pm | Regional Capabilities Performance Assessment for Homeland Security William McGill, Penn State |
| 4:00pm-4:10pm | Questions & Discussion |
| 4:10pm-4:35pm | What Order Theory Can Tell You About Comparing Apples and Oranges: The Problem of Selecting
the Most Probable Target George Markowsky, University of Maine |