Industrial Math Modeling Center Speaker Series: Data Science in the Electric Utilities Industry
Industrial Math Modeling Center Speaker Series
Data Science in the Electric Utilities Industry
Dr. Nicole Rosato
Data Scientist
Rochester Gas & Electric
In this seminar series industrial mathematicians and scientists discuss their use and development of mathematical models. The talks, of which there are four each academic year, are intended to keep members of the RIT community apprised of current industrial modeling trends and challenges. All are welcome.
Abstract:
Avangrid (AGR) has massive amounts of both structured and unstructured data about all components of its electric utility system. Each of AGR's four operating companies (RGE, NYSEG, UI, CMP) had its own database for storing, analyzing, and reporting on data. Over the past 8 months, our group has created a database to unify all of these disparate data sources. Using this Unified Outages Database (UOD) are now able to do significant analysis that is novel to the company. We will discuss three major projects our group has done using this data. First is the classification of outage location on the correct part of the grid (transmission/substation/distribution) and the algorithm that allows us to correctly back-classify 97% of historical electric outages in our database. The second project we will discuss is the development and implementation of a Holt-Winters style forecasting model. We use this to predict year-end values for different metrics associated with electric power grid reliability. The model predicts 2020 values accurately to within 2% for most metrics, and is a key piece of the development of our annual reliability goals. Since our database has gone into full production, we are able to model specific outage causes' impact on the power grid, and how much the grid, due to these causes, is expected to degrade annually. Lastly we will present on the most in-depth and highest-impact of these analyses - a prioritization of circuits in need of tree trimming and the impact of vegetation growth on electric outages.
Speaker Bio:
Nicole Rosato completed her PhD in Mathematical Modeling at RIT in 2021 where she studied gravitational wave extraction and numerical relativity. She is now a Data Engineer at Rochester Gas and Electric where she develops mathematical models related to electric outage prediction and mitigation.
Intended Audience:
Undergraduates, graduates, and experts. Those with interest in the topic.
Keep up with Industrial Math Modeling Center Seminars on the IMMC Seminar Series webpage.
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Event Snapshot
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This is an RIT Only Event
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No